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OIL HITS $100 AGAIN: Hormuz Blockade Tightens as Ceasefire Stalls
OIL HITS $100 AGAIN: Hormuz Blockade Tightens as Ceasefire Stalls
Energy markets are in a tailspin again today, with Brent Crude Oil Futures surging above the $100 mark, while WTI traded near $94 as of this writing. While a tentative U.S.-Iran ceasefire holds, the Strait of Hormuz remains blockaded, paralyzing 20% of the world’s oil and LNG supply.
US-Iran/Middle East Tensions Update
U.S. President Trump extends the U.S.-Iran ceasefire indefinitely, which was initially meant to expire on Wednesday.
However, Trump says there is “no time frame” for the Iran war as the blockade standoff stalls diplomatic talks.
Israel increases attacks in Lebanon, severely breaching the fragility of the regional ceasefire.
Iran states that the Strait of Hormuz cannot be opened due to these ongoing ceasefire breaches.
This has led the benchmark crude oil risk premium to continue its return. Brent has surged 42% since the conflict began in late February. The continued blockade is forcing a massive “underweight” downgrade on oil-dependent economies like India.
Meanwhile, inflation fears increase. With oil at triple digits, the “higher for longer” interest rate narrative is no longer a theory—it’s a survival mechanism for central banks, crushing risk appetite in the process.
However, the U.S. equities market gained to all-time highs on strong earnings, while the European equities rally faces pressure as the impact of the energy crisis intensifies.
What’s Next for Energy Market?
If the blockade isn’t lifted within the week, Ultima Markets analysts warn of a “price-shattering” surge toward $120 again. All eyes are on the U.S.-Iran ceasefire terms; any breach of the peace or prolonged stalemate could still trigger another violent leg up in energy prices and a total collapse in emerging market equities.
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